Humanoid robots: Hands, the Ultimate Brainteaser

Despite highly impressive online demonstrations, humanoid robots are not yet technologically mature. Significant hurdles remain before we see widespread deployment in factories and warehouses. Even the most optimistic experts do not foresee meaningful adoption for another five to ten years, starting primarily in industrial and logistics sectors.

In 2025, there were reportedly between 15,000 and 20,000 humanoid robots deployed globally and the market was valued around $5bn. Depending on the optimism of the forecasts, this figure is expected to reach around 1 million robots by 2035. Accordingly, the global market is projected to surge to between $260 billion and $420 billion by 2035, reaching up to $750 billion in the most optimistic scenarios.

One of the greatest engineering hurdles is replicating the human hand. Designing a robotic hand that is agile, sensitive, robust, lightweight, and capable of human-level precision is immensely difficult. Controlling such a hand requires highly advanced AI models to manage the complex web of sensors, actuators, and degrees of freedom.

Driven by initiatives from tech giants (such as Nvidia, Amazon, and Tesla), venture capital backing (like the SoftBank Vision Fund), and strong government support (particularly in China), the humanoid market is poised for takeoff. Numerous players are tackling the robotic hand challenge, ranging from cutting-edge startups to big tech firms leveraging advanced AI.

This rapidly evolving ecosystem is also shaped by intense geopolitical competition between the US and China, as both nations vie to develop the world’s most capable humanoid robot. For its part, Europe is pretty lightweight in the field of humanoid robotics: only Germany stands out, accounting for 4% of humanoid robotics firms in 2025

Ultimately, the commercial breakthrough of humanoid robotics will depend on overcoming several key challenges:

• Cost reduction: High-end, enterprise-grade industrial models currently cost between €50,000 and €150,000.
• Battery life: Improving autonomy for extended operation.
• Social acceptance: Building trust in human-robot workplaces.
• Proven ROI: Demonstrating clear financial benefits over conventional automation or human labor.
• Safety and regulation: Ensuring foolproof physical safety as robots interact with humans, backed by strict industry standards and updated regulations.
• Smarter AI: Enhancing AI models for better situational awareness, reasoning, and real-time planning.
• Locomotion: Improving overall balance and mobility.
• Dexterity: Solving the “hand problem” to achieve human-like manipulation.